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Why Wisconsin Badgers Can Cover the Spread

ppvpasstve

New Member
Sep 22, 2024
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Here's the thing: you guys are thinking about early-season Wisconsin. Tyler Van Dyke Wisconsin.

Van Dyke getting hurt against Alabama is going to wind up being the best thing for the Badgers this season (no offense, Tyler). But after transferring from Wisconsin in hopes of a fresh start, it quickly became evident that Van Dyke was washed.

Braedyn Locke will lead Wisconsin the rest of the way. In three starts last season as a freshman, he threw five touchdowns with no interceptions despite starting two road games and a home game against Ohio State.

Since taking over for Van Dyke, he's averaging 226.0 yards per game and has six touchdowns with four interceptions.

Wisconsin is 2-1 with Locke as the starter and hung with USC on the road until late in the game. He threw for 359 yards and three touchdowns against Purdue and then completed 71.4% of his passes for 240 yards against an excellent Rutgers defense.

Wisconsin doesn’t have superstar talent, but they spread the ball around well, with four receivers averaging at least 30 yards per game. Will Pauling is the team’s reliable slot receiver with 25 catches on the season, and Vinny Anthony is the big play threat, averaging 26.1 yards per catch.

The Badgers have averaged 21.6 points per game and 4.8 yards per play in Van Dyke’s three starts and 38.3 per game, and 7.2 yards per play in Locke’s three starts.

In the last two games, Wisconsin has scored 94 points, and I expect this offense to keep rolling for another big number against a Northwestern defense that ranks 74th nationally in Success Rate allowed and 118th in Pass Success Rate allowed.
 
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